The 'GUH' - Boss Hog's favorite Meal! Never heard of this smelly beast? Below you'll see how tracking the 'GUH' is the path to riches!
1) The 'GUH', or Great Unwashed Herd, is the term we use for the uninformed, undisciplined NFL bettor. They are the group that makes decisions based on emotion, history, TV Games, team loyalty, or any other basic human tendency which has nothing to do with the actual game. This makes them losers, because at the core, they are too lazy or too stupid to do the considerable work required to effectively handicap an NFL game. Therefore they are 'great', in terms of numbers, they are 'unwashed', because of their crude approach, and they are a 'herd', because they are essentially followers, and travel in large smelly groups.
Now the beauty of this is that we have devised a way to identify games where the GUH has jumped on one side of a game and driven the line way out of balance. I know that this happens because in my seven year career as an options trader, I saw the effects of mass psychology drive prices out of equilibrium on a daily basis. So I built a model that tells us when this has happened, and we add it to our analysis. When we get a game that combines a great fundamental advantage, with significant line "edge", we have an investment we can absolutely count on to produce winning returns over time. Doesn't mean you'll win every game, but it means that we'll play every one of those games because over the couirse of a season, they're winners. I believe that our ability to understand match-up advantages between teams, combined with our ability to know when the line is just plain wrong, and the discipline to play JUST THOSE GAMES, makes PigPicks.com the most consistent handicapper in the biz.
Each week, as part of the analysis for each of the key releases, we'll give you a 'GUH Report', which highlights the GUH's perception of the game, and why that works to our advantage.